Morning Free Association: David Pastrnak is Number 1

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I kind of trailed off in yesterdays post. There were more points I wanted to make while linking information gathered between multiple articles. And then I got tired. It was late and I should know better. So, I just wrote until I was barely awake.

So you might ask yourself, what else was it that I wanted to yammer on about?

how did I get here?

(Fun fact: I just learned this year that David Byrne was born in Scotland, moved to Canada when he was 2, then to Maryland when he was 8. He has dual citizenship of Britain and the United States.)

anyway

Don Sweeney has masterfully handled some signings of his own assets, notably wingers Brad Marchand ($49M/ 8y) and David Pastrnak ($40M/ 6y); keeping Charlie McAvoy to a bridge deal that still offered him a significant increase while not eating up his free agency years ($14.7M/ 3y); and the excellent deal for Matt Grzelcyk ($14.75M/ 4y). Dom Luszczyszyn, an analytics guy for The Athletic, has a model that determines contract efficiency based upon some metrics of his own devising to rate contracts: age, length of remaining term of contract, and things that he determined through stats like “surplus value” and Game Score Value Added (GSVA) which is tabulated by this formula:

Player Game Score = (0.75 * G) + (0.7 * A1) + (0.55 * A2) + (0.075 * SOG) + (0.05 * BLK) + (0.15 * PD) – (0.15 * PT) + (0.01 * FOW) – (0.01 * FOL) + (0.05 * CF) – (0.05 * CA) + (0.15 * GF) – (0.15* GA)

G = Goals
A1 = Primary Assists
A2 = Secondary Assists
SOG = Shots on Goal
BLK = Shots Blocked
PD = Penalties Drawn
PT = Penalties Taken
FOW = Faceoff Win
FOL = Faceoff Loss
CF = Corsi For
CA = Corsi Against
GF = Goals For
GA = Goals against.

Whoo! I love math but hate all this because I feel like it reduces players to spreadsheets on ice. Thankfully, someone else will do all this compilation and multiplication to come up with the things that matter: David Pastrnak has the best contract by value in the league. His contract along with those of Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy, and Matt Grzelcyk have earned the Bruins the top spot on this list.

tl;dr; The Bruins are doing some things very right.

Oh, I should add that these metrics only include contracts of known NHL rostered players, excluding ELCs. Also, no goalies are allowed.

Still, very good Bruins. Now that we know that, we have to consider a few things:

  • The Bruins need to make another move of some kind
  • The Bruins need to re-sign Jake DeBrusk
  • The Bruins need to figure out if Zdeno Chara fits in with their defensive plan

The only true deal that Sweeney made during free agency was the signing of Craig Smith, recently of the Nashville Predators. While the deal is a good one for an underrated right wing, it seems like stocking up the bottom six more than the top six. Greggory McKeggory was also signed but as a depth signing. The real issue is how to make another move to get past Tampa Bay, who finally won the Stanley Cup years after knocking on the door and still crowding the walkway. Of course, Tampa Bay has their own set of issues: The team currently has just under $2.9 million to re-sign RFAs Anthony Cirelli, Erik Cernak, and Mikhail Sergachev. While it’s always good news that teams within your division have trouble fitting under the cap, the Bruins can’t rely on another’s cap jail to ascend to the championship. There are too many good teams out there that do make moves for the B’s to stay complacent.

That move isn’t going to be Jake DeBrusk. He’s not officially a contracted player right now but it is a forgone conclusion that he will be. What DeBrusk needs to figure out is what kind of player he will be instead of being stunning for a few games and then go missing for others. David Krejci is getting too old for this

sheeeeeeit

Score all the goals! Assist on all the others!

Anyway, DeBrusk needs to be consistent.

Let’s talk about Chara tomorrow.

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the german hammer

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Quaider4everwash
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Quaider4everwash

Jo and i are watching Escape from Dannemora with Patricia Arquette and Benicio Del Toro. It really happened and i remember those guys being on the lam for a bit. Very good so far. Directed by Ben Stiller (who i don’t really care for as an actor, like anyone would care).

Satan 81's Sister
Editor
Satan 81's Sister

My boss has a lake house not far from Dannemora and I’ve gone past that prison a few times when we’ve done office parties at the lake house! He was up there after the prison break and cops stopped his car to see if they were hiding in there!

IntentionallyWidenberg
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IntentionallyWidenberg

The Bruins may want to give Sergachev an offer sheet for real. With the Krug and Chara money just sitting on the table, they could have an LD with more upside than Grizz

Quaider4everwash
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Quaider4everwash

Sergachev is just growing into his potential. I’d be surprised if Tampa let him walk. Official He is the most valuable of their free agents, IMO. Still, why not make an offer? He would be a top four guy anywhere.

Satan 81's Sister
Editor
Satan 81's Sister

Morning all. Circling back to our conversation the other day about 1990 being retro and feeling old, here’s something to make you feel old: The sons of Scott Weiland, Slash, and Robert Trujillo have formed a band.
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The London Bear
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The London Bear

Well despite not having changed since the 80s, Slash IS 55. Maybe one of the times his heart stopped he did actually die and he’s been some sort of undead guitar God ever since. This is 2020 – it wouldn’t even be the strangest thing to come out this year!

Satan 81's Sister
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Satan 81's Sister

I can buy this theory!

The London Bear
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The London Bear

Morning all,

I wonder what Pasta thinks of earning the Fewest dollars per point produced! He probably doesn’t care, knowing him. I see he just got a free BMW.

Don’t know why but I always assumed David Byrne was British, even though I knew he was part of that New York scene. Maybe it’s just his name!

Quaider4everwash
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Quaider4everwash

I thought the same thing aboutDavid Byrne. Maybe we need more info about him!

IntentionallyWidenberg
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IntentionallyWidenberg

It’s the WASPy -sounding name.

IntentionallyWidenberg
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IntentionallyWidenberg

(ok, Scottish)
And he’s not fat like a proper American!

Satan 81's Sister
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Satan 81's Sister

I keep meaning to watch American Utopia. I should remember to do that next week during Thanksgiving break.

Satan 81's Sister
Editor
Satan 81's Sister

Oh and I’ve watched the first few episodes of The Queen’s Gambit. I like it. Though I recently finished Bojack Horseman and could have used a bit of a longer break before watching another show about addiction and substance abuse!

The London Bear
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The London Bear

Haha. I watched the first couple of seasons of Bojack and then totally forgot about it!

Satan 81's Sister
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Satan 81's Sister

I started is a while ago but never finished. Then a friend of mine kept bugging me to finish it so I finally did to shut him up. lol Glad I did though because I did really like it, especially the last two seasons.

Quaider4everwash
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Quaider4everwash

Good morning!!!
So, while Bergy is number one in our hearts, Pasta is number one in dollars per point…. IN THE LEAGUE! Dollars per point is simplifying just a bit, but that’s the new math.
Yes, Jake needs to be more consistent. I don’t think Donnie will be giving him the keys to the bank just yet. Maybe Jake’s dad can give him a lil kick in the ass for us.
Managed to get out for some disc golf with Ian, my youngest, yesterday. That’s a lot of hiking on a really sore foot, but fun just the same. We had to social distance as we’re still waiting for test results from Jo’s driver. He waited until yesterday morning to get tested, even though he found out Friday of his possible exposure. WTF? `